Account Performance
Live BTC Market
One-minute candles · automatic refreshKalshi 15-Minute Trade Cycle
One position maximum per 15-minute cycleWaiting for forecast data…
Developer diagnostics
AI Trade Thesis
Exposure & Limits
Execution Readiness
Current Position
Overnight activity
Entries, exit attempts, fills, and errorsLive Trade Monitor
Watch the active position, settlement clock, model direction, executable mark, and manually exit from this dedicated Live Trade tab.
Kalshi BTC 15-Minute Market
Live BTC path, strike line, odds, and countdown on the Live Trade tabOpen Trade
Decision details
Model Laboratory
Chronological holdout comparison with probability calibration.
Walk-forward Backtest
Each prediction is trained only on earlier candles.
All Saved Paper Trades
All simulated trades stored in the active database. Click a row to open entry, exit, execution, and profit details.
| Created | Horizon | Direction | Confidence | Entry | Target exit | Actual exit | Model | Position | P&L | Result |
|---|
All Saved Real Trades
All locally recorded live trades are shown. Rows marked LOCAL are waiting for Kalshi reconciliation; exchange-confirmed totals are shown separately.
| Created | Horizon | Direction | Confidence | Entry | Target exit | Actual exit | Model | Position | P&L | Result |
|---|
All Saved Paper Analytics
All saved Paper-mode results. Confidence, exit behavior, holding time, and hourly performance.
Performance by confidence
Performance by exit reason
Performance by entry hour
All Saved Real Analytics
All saved Real-mode results. Paper results are excluded. Confidence, exit behavior, holding time, and hourly performance.
Performance by confidence
Performance by exit reason
Performance by entry hour
Operations
Watchdog, database recording, balance protection, and filter rejection counts.
Filter rejection statistics
Research & Safety
Out-of-sample validation, calibration, feature importance, and circuit breakers.
Feature importance
Risk controls
Calibration
Recent cycle decisions
Connections
Free BTC feeds plus Kalshi account, guarded execution, and exchange-confirmed REAL accounting.